Blog Posts tagged "correction"

Income Report Card | February 2018

Author: Nathan Rowader
Date: February 20, 2018
Category: Asset Allocation, Financial Planning
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Global stocks finished at a gain of 5.64% in the month of January, just slightly off their all-time high. Emerging market (EM) stocks led the way once again with a gain of 8.33%.Europe and Japan also marked strong gains for the month with an increase of 5.40% and 4.58%, respectively.However, much of these gains (greater than half) can be attributed to appreciation of the local currency. While appreciation of EM currency relative to other major currencies did push prices, these markets would have still outperformed all developed markets. This distinction is crucial since the performance of EM stocks appears to be organic while other foreign markets are largely a function of appreciating currencies, a dynamic that may or may not persist over time. U.S. stocks fared well in January with again of 5.73% while small-cap U.S. stocks increased by 2.61%. There has been a notable improvement in the performance of energy stocks following a weak 2017.Strength in this part of the market could help keep the overall stock market rising.

Income Report Card | January 2018

Author: Nathan Rowader
Date: January 22, 2018
Category: Asset Allocation, Financial Planning
Tags: , , , , , , , ,

With 2017 behind us, let’s look back at this remarkable year. Global stocks finished with a gain of 23.92% with foreign markets leading the way thanks in part to a weak U.S. dollar. The emerging markets (EM) represent the biggest winners globally, gaining 37.90% in U.S. dollar terms and 30.55% in local currency. Japan and Europe also posted strong gains with Japanese stocks gaining 23.76% and European stocks gaining 26.62%. In this case, the weaker dollar played an even more meaningful role as European stocks only gained 13.06% in local currency and Japanese stocks gained 19.75% in yen. U.S. stocks were not left behind, finishing the year with a gain of 21.27%. Small-cap U.S. stocks finished the year with a gain of 14.14%. The gains were certainly impressive, but when we look behind the curtain we learn some very interesting facts, most notably that U.S. stocks have gone 282 days without a 3% correction—the longest period in history. Additionally, 42 of the 44 stock markets followed by MSCI posted gains as well as nine of the 11 sectors. The most unusual sector was energy, which posted a decline for the year despite the rise in oil prices, marking the first time in 15 years energy declined while oil rose. Energy also posted the biggest sector swing in year-over-year earnings ever besides financials during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, which we believe is likely a positive sign for energy stocks going into 2018.


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