Blog Posts tagged "earnings growth"

Income Report Card | April 2018

Author: Nathan Rowader
Date: April 16, 2018
Category: Asset Allocation, Financial Planning
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The market volatility that characterized most of February carried into March. Global stocks declined -2.21% led by a selloff in Japan, which declined by -2.79%. The decline was exacerbated only slightly by a decrease in the yen versus the U.S. dollar. Europe was the best performing segment of global stocks, declining -1.20%. However, the increase of the euro relative the U.S. dollar accounted for a substantial portion of the relative outperformance; in local currency, European stocks declined -2.02% for the month. Emerging markets gave up some of their year-to-date relative outperformance and declined -1.99% as the weight of a possible trade war dragged down Chinese stocks. U.S. stocks continued to be a market underperformer, declining -2.54% as the potential for a protracted trade war with China also weighed on future growth. On a bright note, small-cap U.S. stocks performed well with a gain of 1.29%. Defensive sectors rebounded as interest rates stabilized during the month with U.S. real estate increasing by 3.78% and utilities increasing by 3.76%.

Income Report Card | January 2018

Author: Nathan Rowader
Date: January 22, 2018
Category: Asset Allocation, Financial Planning
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With 2017 behind us, let’s look back at this remarkable year. Global stocks finished with a gain of 23.92% with foreign markets leading the way thanks in part to a weak U.S. dollar. The emerging markets (EM) represent the biggest winners globally, gaining 37.90% in U.S. dollar terms and 30.55% in local currency. Japan and Europe also posted strong gains with Japanese stocks gaining 23.76% and European stocks gaining 26.62%. In this case, the weaker dollar played an even more meaningful role as European stocks only gained 13.06% in local currency and Japanese stocks gained 19.75% in yen. U.S. stocks were not left behind, finishing the year with a gain of 21.27%. Small-cap U.S. stocks finished the year with a gain of 14.14%. The gains were certainly impressive, but when we look behind the curtain we learn some very interesting facts, most notably that U.S. stocks have gone 282 days without a 3% correction—the longest period in history. Additionally, 42 of the 44 stock markets followed by MSCI posted gains as well as nine of the 11 sectors. The most unusual sector was energy, which posted a decline for the year despite the rise in oil prices, marking the first time in 15 years energy declined while oil rose. Energy also posted the biggest sector swing in year-over-year earnings ever besides financials during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, which we believe is likely a positive sign for energy stocks going into 2018.


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