Blog Posts tagged "Federal Reserve"

Income Report Card | January 2018

Author: Nathan Rowader
Date: January 22, 2018
Category: Asset Allocation, Financial Planning
Tags: , , , , , , , ,

With 2017 behind us, let’s look back at this remarkable year. Global stocks finished with a gain of 23.92% with foreign markets leading the way thanks in part to a weak U.S. dollar. The emerging markets (EM) represent the biggest winners globally, gaining 37.90% in U.S. dollar terms and 30.55% in local currency. Japan and Europe also posted strong gains with Japanese stocks gaining 23.76% and European stocks gaining 26.62%. In this case, the weaker dollar played an even more meaningful role as European stocks only gained 13.06% in local currency and Japanese stocks gained 19.75% in yen. U.S. stocks were not left behind, finishing the year with a gain of 21.27%. Small-cap U.S. stocks finished the year with a gain of 14.14%. The gains were certainly impressive, but when we look behind the curtain we learn some very interesting facts, most notably that U.S. stocks have gone 282 days without a 3% correction—the longest period in history. Additionally, 42 of the 44 stock markets followed by MSCI posted gains as well as nine of the 11 sectors. The most unusual sector was energy, which posted a decline for the year despite the rise in oil prices, marking the first time in 15 years energy declined while oil rose. Energy also posted the biggest sector swing in year-over-year earnings ever besides financials during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, which we believe is likely a positive sign for energy stocks going into 2018.

Income Report Card | September 2017

Author: Nathan Rowader
Date: September 12, 2017
Category: Asset Allocation, Financial Planning
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

Global stocks had a decent month with the MSCI All Country World Index ending the month of August with a gain of 0.44%. However, nearly all this advance can be attributed to the emerging markets (EM). The MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 2.23% for the month of August while the S&P 500 Index gained 0.31%, the MSCI Europe Index gained 0.06% and the MSCI Japan Index lost -0.05%. Small-cap stocks continue to have a rough time, as the Russell 2000 Index declined by -1.27% on the month. Because of the strong August performance, the MSCI Emerging Markets is up 28.29% year-to-date, nearly three times the gain of the S&P 500, which is up 11.93% in 2017. Last month, we discussed the impact of currency and that much of the gains in foreign stocks and bonds can be attributed to the rise of the euro and yen relative the dollar. Since this has been a key macro event driving foreign assets, it should be no surprise that August’s lackluster returns for foreign stocks was accompanied by a decline in the U.S. Dollar Index, which fell -0.21% for the month.

The information contained on this web site reflects thoughts and opinions of Salient Capital Advisors, LLC (“Salient”) employees only, and the firm is not soliciting any transaction based upon such information.

The contents of this web site are for informational purposes only and may not reflect current financial developments or market conditions. You should not act or refrain from acting on the basis of any content included in this web site without seeking financial or professional advice on the particular facts and circumstances at issue. Salient reserves the right to change any information contained herein without prior notice. Salient is not responsible for any third-party content that may be accessed through this web site. The distribution or photocopying of Salient information contained on or downloaded from this site is strictly prohibited without the express written consent of Salient.

Salient research has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Salient recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives.

Salient research or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Salient. Salient research is disseminated and available primarily electronically, and, in some cases, in printed form. The information on this web site is for U.S. residents only.

Research and Advisory Services provided by Salient Capital Advisors, LLC, a wholly owned affiliate of Salient Partners, L.P. Salient Capital Advisors, LLC is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.